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in Allgemein 13.07.2019 05:23
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ns Twinkie Town Farm ReportSatire http://www.metsfanproshop.com/authentic-tim-tebow-jersey , Irreverence, & Other HumorGame RecapsNewsArea man leaves sports websiteNew,48commentsSee you down the road.ByRandBall's StuDec 21, 2018, 10:10am ESTShareTweetShareShareArea man leaves sports websiteHello. Stu here, letting you know that this is my last post for Twinkie Town. Rumors that I’m retiring now that Joe Mauer has called it a career are inaccurate, but I am taking a much-needed break from trying to wring laffs out of Chris Parmelee’s name and Drew Butera’s fictional arson career.I need to thank some people:Jon Marthaler. The Voice of Minnesota Soccer asked me if I’d like to write for this site ten years ago, because they needed someone who was home on Friday nights, and he knew I had young kids and couldn’t afford to do anything else but watch the Twins on cable. If Jon doesn’t do this, a lot of other cool things that happened to me down the line likely don’t. Thank you, Marth. Jesse Lund. My first editor here and the site’s founder. He told me not to swear in the headlines and otherwise let me write whatever I wanted. Now, some might say that letting me write a month’s worth of content from the perspective of Carl Pavano’s mustache is a poor editorial decision, but that’s neither here nor there. Thank you, Jesse. Pip pip cheerio or whatever they say on that godforsaken island.Maija Varda. Jesse’s successor and fellow editor emeritus was equally supportive and made sure I didn’t faceplant writing about a serious subject like, say, when the team’s best power hitter was credibly accused of sexual harassment.Thank you, Maija. I hope Joe Mauer gets in the Hall of Fame, too.Aaron Gleeman and John Bonnes. I couldn’t ask for two more supportive friends in local baseball media. They’d amplify things I wrote here to a local and national audience, such that my friend Josh would text, “Hey, Joe Posnanski just linked to your Nick Punto Oral History,” and I’d know that one of them had signal-boosted my dumb jokes.My family. They had to watch a lot of bad Twins baseball on Friday nights, people. Kevin Correia starts. Jason Tyner batting 5th. Telly Hughes in the stands talking about free peanuts. My god. They’ve heard the phrase “downward plane” 10000 times, I bet.You. Thank you for reading this. Go Twins. From silly to infuriating, here is a comedy of errors"The Indians attempted to sacrifice bunt 46 times in 2018. In some cases, the player that attempted the bunt successfully sacrificed the runner over. You shouldn’t celebrate these too much; sacrifice bunts — including those that resulted in an error or a single — still cost the Indians 5.45 runs according to RE24 in 2018. They were worth -.81 WPA. No traditional sacrifice bunts increased the Indians’ chances of winning per WPA.What I plan to examine today are the times that Indians players squared up a sacrifice and blew it Neil Walker Jersey , ranked in ascending order of shame the hitter likely felt when leaving the batter’s box.May 8th - Corey KluberSituation: 1 out, runners on first and second, top of the second inning, Indians trail 0-2Kluber squared up and doinked the ball right to the pitcher, who caught it and picked off Guyer at second base. Double play.This is a terrible bunt, but it is the least harrowing simply because Kluber is a pitcher in the American League and attempts a bunt about as often as I actually hit my daily call quota.Result: WPA -.9, RE24 -.9, Indians lose 2-3September 9th - Erik GonzalezSituation: 0 out, runner on second base, bottom of the second inning, Indians lead 2-0Gonzalez popped the first pitch from Blake Snell straight up into the air. The catcher converted the out and snickered. Result: -.03 WPA, RE24 -.45, Indians eventually lost 3-5April 30th - Roberto PerezSituation: 0 out, runner on first, bottom of the 8th inning, Indians losing 3-4Roberto Perez couldn’t do anything at the plate in the beginning of the year. Or the middle. Or the end. Anyway, this game gets a discount for happening in April and being by a catcher. He popped a bunt foul that the catcher ran down. Result: WPA -.09, RE23 -.37May 15th - Greg AllenSituation: 0 out, runners on first and second, top of the sixth inning, Indians lead 5-3Allen laid down the bunt, but it rolled to Zac Reininger who rushed from the mound and dispatched of the lead runner at third. Everyone loves a free out.Result: -.04 WPA, -.59 RE24, Indians eventually lose 8-9May 6th - Greg AllenSituation: 0 out, runners on first and second, top of the 8th inning Adrian Gonzalez Jersey , Indians lead 1-0Allen popped up a 1-1 pitch from Jonathan Holder in front of home. With Gary Sanchez catching this may have been a clever strategy to reach via error, but it did not work. Result: -.05 WPA, 0.59 RE24, Indians eventually lose 4-7July 15th - Roberto PerezSituation: 0 out, runner on first, bottom of the 7th inning, game tied 2-2Perez rolled a bunt directly to Masahiro Tanaka. He threw toward first and traded a strike for an out. Result: -.05 WPA, -.37 RE24, Indians eventually win 5-2June 3rd - Greg AllenSituation: Greg Allen is at the plate I dunno guys we better bunt lol, Indians lead 4-3I understand why it’s appealing to have Greg Allen sacrifice bunt: He’s allegedly good at it, and his speed opens up the possibility of a hit or error instead of an out. He attempted nine sacrifices in 2018, and only one of them was a net positive by either WPA or RE24 — a single. His only other bunt attempt resulted in a single. In this particular instance he bunted to move Yan Gomes from second to third, but the catcher scooped it up and eliminated the lead runner. Yay.Result: Indians lose 5-7May 11th - Jason KipnisSituation: 0 out, runners on first and second, bottom of the 4th inning, Indians trail 3-4Kipnis doinked one right in front of home plate, and the lead runner was nabbed at third. Result: WPA -.07, RE24 -.59, Indians lose 9-10September 7th - Rajai DavisSituation: 0 out, runners on first and second, top of the 11th, tied 2-2Look: I understand that it’s a tie game and you only need one run. A successful sacrifice here is the one situation in which you actually raise the chance to score a single run (at the expense of scoring multiple). The caveat to that is a below average hitter is at the plate (check) and there are no better options on the bench. The Indians had a 70% chance of winning the game at this point, anyway, and notice that this game happened right after September callups. Here is a list of hitters that Francona might have deployed instead:Yandy DiazEric HaaseErik GonzalezI don’t have any idea why you don’t hit Diaz here, but I honestly like any of these options better than Rajai at the plate, and bunting in particular. Rajai failed to perform another legendary slug bunt and rolled into a forceout at third base. Nothing like a free out in extra innings.Result: WPA -.12 Jose Bautista Jersey , RE24 -.58, Indians lose 3-2June 9th - Lonnie ChisenhallSituation: 0 out, runners on first and second, top of the 11th, tied 2-2I hate everything about this bunt. One, it’s a Chisenbunt and we had precious little time to enjoy Lonnie this season before his calves betrayed him. Two, Chisenhall is a good hitter! Why? Why would you do this? Chisnehall popped up to the catcher. Result: WPA -.12, RE24 -.58, Indians lose 2-4August 13th - Greg AllenSituation: 0 out, runners on second and third, top of the fourth inning, Indians lead 2-1The Indians attempted a squeeze play. Allen bunted a weak line drive toward the second baseman which Home Bailey gloved. If that isn’t bad enough, the reason the runners were on second and third is because Bailey balked. They started the inning with a Kipnis single, then Yan Gomes reached on an error. Before a pitch was even thrown to the third batter the Indians had runners on second and third.After Allen’s bunt attempt, Mike Clevigner struck out (they were in Cincy), Francisco Lindor walked, and Michael Brantley grounded out. This turn of events changed the Indians’ win expectancy from 76% to 58%. Result: -.05 WPA, -.58 RE24, the worst use of a balk ever, Indians still win 10-3April 29th - Bradley ZimmerSituation: 0 out, runner on first, bottom of the first, game tied 0-0Francisco Lindor led the game off with a walk, and Bradley Zimmer followed. Marco Gonzalez pitched, Francisco Lindor broke for second, and Zimmer bunted. The ball blooped to a charging Kyler Seager http://www.metsfanproshop.com/authentic-tim-tebow-jersey , who gunned it to first and picked off Lindor. Momentum sucks anyway, right guys?Result: -.07 WPA, -.81 RE24September 19th - Melky CabreraSituation: 0 out, runners on first and second, bottom of the ninth, Indians trail 0-1Terry Francona told a dude who hit .309/.356/.485 against lefties to drop a sacrifice bunt against a lefty in the bottom of the ninth with the Indians trailing by one. Making matters worse, he hadn’t attempted a bunt all season, and only five total in the previous three years.Why, god? Why?This bunt was largely forgotten because Jason Kipnis won the game on a full count with two outs and the bases loaded. If not for that, I think we would have discussed this decision at length. No manager is perfect, but decisions like this one make me wonder about Francona sometimes.The leverage index here was 6.03 to give an idea of how much this affected the game despite it being “hidden” by Kipnis’s bomb. There were fewer than a dozen at-bats more significant to the outcome of a game in 2018; two of them were the Tribe’s next two at-bats. Interestingly, three more came in the next two games — the Indians lost both. Talk about a tense few days of baseball. Result: WPA -.19. Notice that this is nearly one quarter of the Indians total WPA value from the season. This was a really, really bad bunt. RE24 .59. Indians still win in style 4-1 because Jason Kipnis reads magazines or something.Some additional numbersIn games that featured a sacrifice bunt attempt, the Indians went 30-16. In games that featured a failed sacrifice bunt, the Indians went 4-9. Don’t screw up your bunts, kids.Greg Allen is the worst offender on the roster from 2018. Screwing up almost half of your bunt attempts is terrible. Please stop bunting, Greg.For all of the complaining we do about Lindor squaring up instead of swinging away, at least he didn’t screw any of them up. His sacrifice attempts were actually a net positive in WPA for the season, largely because one of them resulted in an error.Roberto Perez attempted a sacrifice ten times in 2018, the highest total on the roster. None of them gave the Indians a better chance to win the game according to WPA.Why on Earth did you just write 1,515 words about sacrifice bunts?I mean, the alternative was doing real work on the Thursday before Christmas. I imagine your reason for reading them is the same.

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